Can political equations be affected by the peasant struggle on the border in Delhi for three months? For the answer, the election results in the five states of the country will have to wait. Similarly, these elections are of considerable importance for many other reasons. Let’s start talking to Assam. At the beginning of its second term, the Modi government allowed the National Citizenship Registration (NRC) and Citizenship (Amendment) Act (CAA). This made the whole country outraged. It was allegedly a planned conspiracy against minorities. Shaheen Bagh’s movement was a product of this. Over 65 people have died in violence in other parts of the country during this period. The continued resentment of the Bangladeshi people in Assam was expected to welcome these laws, but soon it became clear that not only Bangladeshi infiltrators but also the natives of Assam would be affected by these laws. In a hurry, the painful problems in this delicate state of decades of dust have revived again. Not only the Corona Shaheen Bagh agitators but also the government had the opportunity to withhold these proposals. Now, as elections are knocking on every voter’s door, there have been murmurs about these provisions. Does the main opposition Congress benefit from it?
The Congress-led coalition had been ruling here until 2016. Like most other states in the country, India’s oldest party has fallen victim to insight. It confronts the United BJP, which is at the forefront of the agenda of majority nationalism. It is played by JP Nadda and Amit Shah. Prime Minister Narendra Modi addressed the election rallies here. In contrast, the country’s oldest party is still taking action. Clearly, the road to Congress is not easy. Now come to West Bengal. The whole world is keeping an eye on this state election. Mamata Banerjee is a militant leader. To save her decades-old rule, she has jumped to the ground voluntarily. The BJP knew this would happen, which is why it deployed its predecessor leader Kailash Vijayawargiya to Bengal five years ago. He has succeeded in bringing all the leaders closer to the Chief Minister under the saffron flag. Amit Shah has seen a huge drop in the number of local parties in the elections. Due to this aggressive strategy, the BJP has already managed to establish itself as the main rival of the Trinamool Congress. Congress and the Left, despite their old penetration, are no longer in general discussion. This is certainly an early lead of the BJP, but it cannot win such elections. Like every other state, Bang-land also has its own specialties. It is a state of large districts. 62 per cent of the state’s voters live in nine of Bengal’s 23 districts. Out of a total of 294 seats, 185 are in these nine districts. The direction of election results is determined by their propensity. The Trinamool Congress has claimed that the BJP’s position in these districts is not good. With this, West Bengal is the largest state in the country with nearly 30 percent of the electorate being Muslim. These people are still standing with Mamata Banerjee after she moved from the left, but news of the influx of some local Muslim parties is creating a new harat. Similarly, Asaduddin Owaisi is also full of new prospects after the Bihar result. Can Muslim votes be divided here? Turn south now from East India. In Kerala, the Left Front LDF and the Congress-led UDF have come to power in the last 40 years. Rahul Gandhi represents the Wayanad seat of this state in the Lok Sabha. Congress certainly has hope here, but in the last five years the performance of the Left Alliance has been good in many ways. Then there is the allegation of the oldest party in the country, which in other parts of the country contests elections with communist-minded parties, but here it is confronted with both. Does it have any effect on the election? As such, this kind of confusion is not new to Indian politics and there are many reasons for Congress to hope. A discussion of Tamil Nadu and Puducherry is necessary here. This will be the first time in the state of Tamil Nadu that there are no heavyweights like Jayalalithaa and Karunanidhi in the electoral landscape. In DMK, Karunanidhi began to lead Stalin as his successor, but nothing happened in Jayalalithaa’s party AIADMK. This party is certainly in power, but the internal pull will strengthen the treachery. It is also shocking how Jayalalithaa’s companion, Shashikala, has been welcomed since her release from Bangalore jail. ‘Chinamma’ has also announced her entry into active politics, but how effective is she in this turbulent environment? The same question applies to Kamal Haasan’s party. According to the Lok Sabha elections, these states have great importance. A total of 116 MPs are elected from here. You would say that the Delhi governorship election is a long way off, but keep in mind that every election that passes prepares a new role for the next election. The question is whether the Congress can handle its staggering position in Kerala and Assam by returning to power or any one of them. However, Kerala, West Bengal and Assam are the states where Muslim voters are between 28 and 32 per cent. If it allows the BJP to polarize, it will also give the Congress the opportunity to unite its old voter groups. It will be interesting to see which party benefits the most. The state of the country must also be determined by their profit and loss.
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