Bayern Munich vs. Hoffenheim Odds
| Bayern Munich Odds | -480 |
| Hoffenheim Odds | +1050 |
| Draw | +600 |
| Over/Under | 4 (-117/-106) |
| Day | Time | Saturday | 9:30 a.m. ET |
| How To Watch | ESPN+ |
Bayern Munich will pay off one of their two losses when they host mid-table side Hafenheim on Saturday in the Bundesliga.
Bayern’s incredible unbeaten streak in the Bundesliga last season was halted by Hoffenheim 4-1 in September. Since then, the defending German and European champions have been on the path of destruction and have now taken a seven-point lead over the Bundesliga.
Bayern have won six of their last seven games, so Hoffenheim can run right into Saturday’s jigsaw.
Hafenheim has been on a little roller coaster this season, currently ranked 11th. However, they won their last two matches against Hertha Berlin and Koln 6-0.
The defending champion will definitely be out of blood as Hafenheim beat Bayern Munich 2-1 at Allianz Arena last season, but the defending champion followed it up 6-0.
Could Haupenheim pull off another historic upset on Saturday?
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich is their usual stronghold in this campaign, but they weren’t strong at the time of last season’s reboot. The defending champions are scoring 2.22 expected goals per game, which is a big drop of 2.73 xG per game compared to their average last season.
Additionally, the Bayern offense has led to some negative downturns. He has scored 53 goals in 53 games while creating only 40.09 xG.
A lot of their success has been offensively hitting the bottom of the table. In six games against the Bundesliga’s bottom five, Bayern Munich is averaging 3.31 xG per game, and he is only averaging 1.75 xG per game against the rest of the league.
At the last meeting Hoffenheim held Bayern’s offense to only 1.54 XG, so Die Kraichgauer would be able to hold back the Bavarians?
Hoffenheim
Hafenheim has been a little disappointed with this season since he finished sixth in the last campaign. They are in the midst of an identity crisis that has not found a stable structure in this season.
However, he may have just found the perfect recipe, as the last two games have gone 3-0, by playing 3-5-2.
3-5-2 For most managers, the dream of allowing seven players to move forward in the attack and sink opposing defenses may come true. This allows managers to play three central midfielders, which is definitely beneficial against a team like Bayern Munich. Hafenheim has a +0.14 XGD when leaving the structure at this time of the season and only allows 1.40 XG per 90 minutes.
So how do you beat Bayern Munich? You shut up in the middle of the pitch and stay calm against their high press. Bayern likes to play a very high defensive line and push forward as a unit, and when it works they completely submerge teams, but when they get too far off the pitch, they can use them.
This tactical breakdown shows how Hoffenheim defeated Bayern for the last time and what he would do again if he wanted to pull off another historic upset:
